Has the war in Ukraine changed Europeans’ preferences on refugee policy? Evidence from a panel experiment in Germany, Hungary and Poland
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Has the war in Ukraine changed Europeans’ preferences on refugee policy? Evidence from a panel experiment in Germany, Hungary and Poland. / Letki, Natalia; Walentek, Dawid; Dinesen, Peter Thisted; Liebe, Ulf.
In: Journal of European Public Policy, 02.02.2024.Research output: Contribution to journal › Journal article › Research › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Has the war in Ukraine changed Europeans’ preferences on refugee policy?
T2 - Evidence from a panel experiment in Germany, Hungary and Poland
AU - Letki, Natalia
AU - Walentek, Dawid
AU - Dinesen, Peter Thisted
AU - Liebe, Ulf
N1 - Publisher Copyright: © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.
PY - 2024/2/2
Y1 - 2024/2/2
N2 - The Russian invasion of Ukraine in early 2022 resulted in the largest refugee crisis in Europe since WWII. Using a unique panel conjoint experiment on refugee policy preferences carried out in Germany, Poland and Hungary just before and after the onset of the war in Ukraine, we show a heterogenous response to the influx of refugees from Ukraine across the three countries: no change of policy preferences in Germany, moderate change in Hungary and a significant change in Poland. Our results have direct implications for the development of a common EU asylum policy, as even though the countries persistently diverge on the preferred mode of asylum seekers’ allocation, with Germans favouring relocation and Poland and Hungary the status quo, the results highlight the scope for consensus rooted in shared preference for the asylum seekers’ unrestricted access to the labour market. This dimension consistently emerges as the most important policy dimension in all three countries before and after the outbreak of war.
AB - The Russian invasion of Ukraine in early 2022 resulted in the largest refugee crisis in Europe since WWII. Using a unique panel conjoint experiment on refugee policy preferences carried out in Germany, Poland and Hungary just before and after the onset of the war in Ukraine, we show a heterogenous response to the influx of refugees from Ukraine across the three countries: no change of policy preferences in Germany, moderate change in Hungary and a significant change in Poland. Our results have direct implications for the development of a common EU asylum policy, as even though the countries persistently diverge on the preferred mode of asylum seekers’ allocation, with Germans favouring relocation and Poland and Hungary the status quo, the results highlight the scope for consensus rooted in shared preference for the asylum seekers’ unrestricted access to the labour market. This dimension consistently emerges as the most important policy dimension in all three countries before and after the outbreak of war.
KW - conjoint
KW - EU asylum policy
KW - Refugee policy
KW - war in Ukraine
U2 - 10.1080/13501763.2024.2304610
DO - 10.1080/13501763.2024.2304610
M3 - Journal article
AN - SCOPUS:85184266800
JO - Journal of European Public Policy
JF - Journal of European Public Policy
SN - 1350-1763
ER -
ID: 387334425