Precise Performance: Do Citizens Rely on Numerical Precision as a Cue of Confidence?

Research output: Working paperResearchpeer-review


Recent research suggest that precise numbers signal confidence and are more potent anchors.
Political-administrative systems are often dominated by numerical information in order to evaluate
performance or set future goals. We conduct a set of experiments testing how well the
precision effect translates in political-administrative setting (n=1,505). The findings provide no
clear convincing evidence of a precision effect. Citizens evaluation of performance goal numbers
seem to be largely unaffected by the roundness or precision of a number. This is the case
even if the numerical information is presented without any explicit political cues or are framed
as non-manipulative expert judgments
Original languageEnglish
PublisherDepartment of Political Science, University of Copenhagen
Number of pages16
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jan 2018

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