Medium-term Fluctuations and the 'Great Ratios' of Economic Growth

Research output: Working paperResearch

Evidence for the OECD countries show that the “great ratios”, such as the unemployment rate, factor shares, Tobin’s q and the investment-capital ratio, fluctuate significantly on medium-term frequencies of 10-40 years duration. To explain these medium-term fluctuations, we establish a macro-dynamic model where the q-theory of investment is combined with sluggish real-wage adjustment in the labour market. In this framework, responses to shocks show persistence and amplification. A high degree of real-wage rigidity combined with a low elasticity of factor substitution leads to damped internal oscillations and hump-shaped impulse-response functions
Original languageEnglish
Place of PublicationKbh.
PublisherØkonomisk institut, Københavns Universitet
Number of pages47
Publication statusPublished - 2013
SeriesUniversity of Copenhagen. Institute of Economics. Discussion Papers (Online)
Number16
Volume2013
ISSN1601-2461

Bibliographical note

JEL Classification: E3, G1, O4

    Research areas

  • Faculty of Social Sciences - Medium-term cycles, Tobin’s q, real-wage Phillips curve, elasticity of factor substitution, endogenous oscillations

ID: 98952992